External Research Pages
My NBER page.
My IZA page.
"Tweet Sixteen and Pregnant: Missing Links in the Causal Chain from Reality TV to Fertility" (with Theodore J. Joyce and Robert Kaestner), August 2018. In submission.
"The Demand for Interns" (with John M. Nunley and R. Alan Seals, Jr.), draft, August 2018.
"Peer Effects and Retirement Decisions: Evidence from Pension Reform in Germany" (with Mary K. Hamman, Daniela Hochfellner, John M. Nunley, and Christopher J. Ruhm), draft, June 2018.
"A Cautionary Tale of Evaluating Identifying Assumptions: Did Reality TV Really Cause a Decline in Teenage Childbearing?" (with Theodore J. Joyce and Robert Kaestner), Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, forthcoming.
"Shift-Share Instruments and the Impact of Immigration" (with Joakim Ruist and Jan Stuhler), NBER Working Paper 24285, February 2018. Also IZA Discussion Paper 11307. In submission.
"Are Drone Strikes Effective in Afghanistan and Pakistan? On the Dynamics of Violence between the United States and the Taliban" (with Zahra Siddique), CESifo Economic Studies, 64(4):667-697, December 2018.
"On Measuring and Reducing Selection Bias with a Quasi-Doubly Randomized Preference Trial" (with Theodore J. Joyce, Dahlia K. Remler, Onur Altindag, Stephen D. O'Connell, and Sean Crockett), Journal of Policy Analysis and Management, 36(2):438-459 (Spring 2017).
"Problems with Instrumental Variables Estimation when the Correlation between the Instrument and the Endogenous Explanatory Variable Is Weak"
(with John Bound and Regina M. Baker),
Journal of the American Statistical Association, 90(430):443-450 (June 1995).
[Data from the 1970 Census on the 1920-29 birth cohort in Stata format: use http://www.djaeger.org/data/ak2029.dta]
[Data from the 1980 Census on the 1930-39 birth cohort in Stata format: use http://www.djaeger.org/data/ak3039.dta]
"On the Sensitivity of Return to Schooling Estimates to Estimation Methods, Model Specification, and Influential Outliers if Identification is Weak" (with Juliane Parys), IZA Discussion Paper 3961, January 2009.
"Does Classroom Time Matter?" (with Ted Joyce, Sean Crockett, Onur Altindag, and Stephen D. O'Connell), Economics of Education Review, 46:64-77 (June 2015).
"Natives, the Foreign-Born, and High School Equivalents: New Evidence on the Returns to the GED" (with Melissa A. Clark), Journal of Population Economics, 19(4):769-793 (October 2006).
"Estimating the Returns to Education using the Newest Current Population Survey Education Questions," Economics Letters, 78(3):385-394 (March 2003).
"Do Compulsory Attendance Laws Alone Explain the Association between Earnings and Quarter of Birth?" (with John Bound), Research in Labor Economics, 19:83-108 (2000).
"Methods for Reconciling the Change in the Educational Attainment Question in the Current Population Survey and Census," Monthly Labor Review, 120(8):36-40 (August 1997).
"Reconciling the Old and New Census Bureau Education Questions: Recommendations for Researchers,"
Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 15(4):300-309 (August 1997).
[Data in Stata format: use http://www.djaeger.org/data/jaeger_jbes97.dta]
"Degrees Matter: New Evidence on Sheepskin Effects in the Returns to Education"
(with Marianne Page),
Review of Economics and Statistics, 78(4):733-740 (November 1996).
[Data in Stata format: use http://www.djaeger.org/data/jaeger_page.dta]
"Can Militants Use Violence to Win Public Support? Evidence from the Second Intifada" (with Esteban Klor, Sami Miaari, and M. Daniele Paserman), Journal of Conflict Resolution, 59(3):528-549 (April 2015).
"The Struggle for Palestinian Hearts and Minds: Violence and Public Opinion in the Second Intifada" (with Esteban Klor, Sami Miaari, and M. Daniele Paserman), Journal of Public Economics 96(3-4):354-36 (April 2012).
"The Shape of Things to Come? On the Dynamics of Suicide Attacks and Targeted Killings"
(with M. Daniele Paserman),
Quarterly Journal of Political Science 4(4):315-342 (December 2009).
"The Cycle of Violence? An Empirical Analysis of Fatalities in the Palestinian-Israeli Conflict"
(with M. Daniele Paserman),
American Economic Review, 98(3):1591-1604 (September 2008).
"Israel, the Palestinians Factions, and the Cycle of Violence" (with M. Daniele Paserman), American Economic Review: Papers and Proceedings, 96(2):45-49 (May 2006).
Immigration and Migration
"The Persistence of Self-Employment across Borders: New Evidence on Legal Immigrants to the United States" (with Randall K. Q. Akee and Konstantinos Tatsiramos), Economics Bulletin, 33(1):126-137 (January 2013).
"Direct Evidence on Risk Attitudes and Migration" (with Thomas Dohmen, Armin Falk, David Huffman, Uwe Sunde, and Holger Bonin), Review of Economics and Statistics, 92(3):684-689 (August 2010).
"Green Cards and the Location Choices of Immigrants in the United States, 1971-2000," Research in Labor Economics, 27:131-183 (2007).
"The Economic Diversity of Immigration Across the United States" (with Rachel M. Friedberg), IZA Discussion Paper 4555, November 2009.
"Skill Differences and the Effect of Immigrants on the Wages of Natives," Bureau of Labor Statistics Working Paper 273, revised April 2007.
"Wine Retail Price Dispersion in the United States: Searching for Expensive Wines?" (with Karl Storchmann) American Economic Review: Papers and Proceedings, 101(3):136-41 (March 2011).
"Is Job Stability in the United States Falling? Reconciling Trends in the Current Population Survey and Panel Study of Income Dynamics" (with Ann Huff Stevens), Journal of Labor Economics 17(4):S1-S28 (October 1999).
"Coding Geographic Areas Across Census Years: Creating Consistent Definitions of Metropolitan Areas" (with Susanna Loeb, Sarah E. Turner, and John Bound), NBER Working Paper 6772, October 1998.
Book Reviews and Comments
Review of American Wine Economics: An Exploration of the U.S. Wine Industry (James Thornton) Journal of Wine Economics 8(3):357-359 (December 2013).
"Variability in Punitive Damages: Comment," Journal of Institutional and Theoretical Economics, 166:33-37 (March 2010).
Reports and Other Publications
"Strike Out", Letter to the Editor, (with Zahra Siddique), Foreign Policy, May/June 2012, p. 11.
"The Cycle of Violence and Palestinian Public Opinion" (with M. Daniele Paserman), Vox (10 June 2008).
"'Heckit' Two-step Sample Selection Correction Estimation in SAS," in Vivek, Ajmani, Applied Econometrics Using SAS, John Wiley and Sons, 2009.
"Replacing the Undocumented Workforce," Center for American Progress, April 2006.
"'Heckit' Two-step Sample Selection Correction Estimation in SHAZAM," in White K.J., et al., SHAZAM User's Reference Manual, Version 7.0, McGraw-Hill, 258-261 (1993). Also in SHAZAM User's Reference Manual Versions 8 (1996), 9 (2001), and 10 (2004).
Work in Progress
(Titles Subject to Change)
"Child Health and the Impact of Maternal Fasting" (with Onur Altindag and Markus Gehrsitz)
"The Impact of Internship Experience on the Employment Prospects of Newly-Minted College Graduates: Results from a Field Experiment" (with Carly Galbraith, John Nunley, and Alan Seals, and Eric Wilbrandt)
"Racial and Gender Bias in the Market for Newly Minted College Graduates: Evidence from the Field" (with David Dowling, Carly Galbraith, Sam Goldstein, John Nunley, Alan Seals, and Eric Wilbrandt)
"Monastic Competition in Twelfth-Century Germany" (with Alison I. Beach)
"Son Preference in Fertility, Family Size and Parents' Labor Supply: A Cautionary Tale of Compliers" (with Onur Altindag and Mehmet Alper Dincer)